The CAL FIRE Report
2023 Fire Year Outlook
Weather outlook for June to September calls for a cooler start to the summer with temperatures heating towards the end of June and hotter temperatures anomalies as the summer progresses. There is a ninety percent likelihood of an El Nino developing by July. The tropical disturbances typically associated with an El Nino pattern could lead to increased lightning and thunderstorm activity. In the lower elevations a dense grass crop has developed. These grasses have started drying and will continue to dry out which may lead to an increased occurrence of initial attack fires. Due to the late rainy season, larger vegetation located in the mid and upper elevations will continue to experience above normal growth into the early summer months. The snowpack that remains in the mountain areas should assist with mitigating significant fire potential in the higher elevations until later in the summer.